Nieuwsbrief maart: Stabilisatie te midden van onzekerheid

The market in March

March was largely driven by news surrounding the conflict between the United States and Iran. Sentiment fluctuated based on reports about military operations, possible negotiations, and the impact on energy trade. 

Notable was the relative strength of the crypto market under this geopolitical unrest. Where the AEX fell 7% and gold lost 12%, the crypto market held its ground. This resilience was supported by positive developments within the industry itself: regulatory clarity from American regulators and further institutional adoption by major financial institutions. 

An important development concerned the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial passage for the oil industry. The number of ships passing through this strait dropped from approximately 135 per day to an average of six per day. Yesterday, however, a ceasefire was reached between the US and Iran, with Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz for traffic. This first step toward de-escalation provides room for recovery of energy flows, although the situation remains fragile given the two-week duration of the agreement and uncertainty about actual shipping. 

SEC and CFTC provide regulatory clarity

March brought important clarification from the two most important American financial market regulators. The SEC oversees securities such as stocks, while the CFTC oversees commodities such as oil and gold. 

Both organizations published new guidelines providing more clarity on how digital assets are treated. The core message: tokens that are decentralized and have no central party in control are not automatically considered securities. Important digital assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Chainlink are explicitly recognized as commodities, meaning they fall under CFTC supervision. 

This is a positive signal for the majority of the market. For companies and projects, this means more certainty about the rules they must comply with. Projects that previously operated in a legal gray area now have clarity about their status. This represents an important step toward a workable framework for the industry. 

 

In the news: institutional adoption accelerates

  • MicroStrategy purchases $3.1 billion in Bitcoin. The company with the world’s largest Bitcoin reserves expanded its position by approximately 5% during the stabilization. This strategic purchase reflects institutional parties’ confidence in current prices as an interesting entry point. 
  • Morgan Stanley launches own Bitcoin ETF. As the first major American bank, Morgan Stanley introduces its own Bitcoin ETF. With a network of 16,000 advisors collectively managing $6.2 trillion in client assets, even a 1% allocation would mean $62 billion – comparable to what all current Bitcoin ETFs have raised in two years. 
  • Coinbase introduces Bitcoin-backed mortgages. In collaboration with Fannie Mae, America’s largest mortgage provider, customers can now take out mortgages with Bitcoin as collateral. Instead of selling Bitcoin to finance a home, holders can retain their Bitcoin while still accessing capital. This collaboration with one of the most established names in the mortgage market emphasizes the growing acceptance of digital assets within traditional financial services.

Fortera's fondsen

Arc Fund
March return: +1.55%
Consistent and stable returns through refined trading strategies.
Core Fund

March return: +1,67%

Long-term capital growth by investing in blockchain companies.

Market outlook

The crypto market showed a phase of stabilization in March. While traditional markets such as stocks and gold continued to fall, the crypto market held steady with slight gains. This is a positive signal after a long period of negative sentiment. 

The conflict between the US and Iran took an important turn last week with the achievement of a ceasefire. However, the situation remains fragile: the agreement is valid for two weeks and structural disputes such as the nuclear program and control over the Strait have not yet been resolved. The actual impact on oil supply and inflation depends on how many ships actually make the passage and whether the ceasefire holds. 

 

What’s happening behind the scenes 
While prices remain volatile, the fundamentals are actually getting stronger: 

  • Clear rules: American regulators have finally provided clarity on how digital assets are treated. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major tokens receive official recognition. 
  • Major players step in: Morgan Stanley launches its own Bitcoin fund as the first major bank. Coinbase collaborates with America’s largest mortgage provider for Bitcoin-backed loans. These are no longer experiments – it’s becoming mainstream. 
  • Attractive valuations: Companies showing healthy growth in revenue and users are now relatively cheap due to price declines. For those looking at the long term, this offers interesting opportunities. 

 

The crypto market stands at the tipping point of mass adoption. Short-term fluctuations can be severe, but structural developments point to a sector increasingly becoming part of the traditional financial system. 

Want to know more?
Fortera’s funds offer two ways to benefit from this: stable returns through the Arc Fund, or positioning for long-term growth through the Core Fund. 


Discover how our strategies navigate through this dynamic market. Schedule an introductory meeting via fortera.nl or view the brochure.
 


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